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The bitter AL East rivals appear to be evenly matched again as the New York Yankees get set to host the second of a four-game series with the Boston Red Sox on Saturday afternoon. They kicked off their MLB seasons in style on Friday, going back and forth until Josh Donaldson’s single in the bottom of the 11th gave the Yankees the win. The 6-5 victory was New York’s first on a walk-off in a season opener since 1957. Both teams went 92-70 last season, and they split the 20 games they played. The Yankees won six in a row to close the regular season, but the Red Sox ended that with a 6-2 victory in the Wild-Card game. Boston went on to lose to the Astros in the ALCS in six games. Right-handers Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox and New York’s Luis Severino are expected to take the mound Saturday.
First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as a -160 favorite (risk $160 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Red Sox vs. Yankees odds, and the over-under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any Yankees vs. Red Sox picks, you need to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the 2022 MLB season coming off a 209-178 record on top-rated MLB picks in 2021, returning over $700 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Yankees vs. Red Sox, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the MLB odds and trends for Red Sox vs. Yankees:
- Red Sox vs. Yankees money line: Boston +140, New York -160
- Red Sox vs. Yankees over-under: 9 runs
- Red Sox vs. Yankees run line: New York -1.5 (+120)
- BOS: Nick Pivetta has 609 strikeouts in 561⅓ career innings over six seasons
- NYY: Luis Severino had 450 strikeouts over his last two full seasons (2017-18)
Featured Game | New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Why you should back the Yankees
New York has the confidence after a big victory and has the home crowd behind it. It is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings at Yankee Stadium, and all the power pieces appear healthy. That includes Aaron Judge, who hit 39 homers and an OPS of .916 last season, and Giancarlo Stanton, who played almost an entire season and hit 35 homers. The additions of Donaldson and Joey Gallo to an already potent lineup makes it even scarier. Gallo hit 38 homers between the Rangers and Yankees, and he should be more comfortable in starting the full season with New York.
Stanton and Anthony Rizzo both homered Friday, and Judge had a double. Catcher Kyle Higashioka was expected to be a strength on defense but had 10 homers last season to make Gary Sanchez expendable, and he had seven this spring. Isiah Kiner-Falefa also improves the defense in place of shortstop Gleyber Torres, who was an All-Star his first two seasons for his offensive skills. The high-powered Yankees could do some damage against Pivetta, who has a tendency to leave the ball out over the plate, and New York’s bullpen has more quality depth.
Why you should back the Red Sox
Boston showed on Friday how it’s just never out of a game with the Yankees. It held the lead three different times, getting a two-run Rafael Devers homer in the first and also taking the lead in the 10th. It won seven straight matchups with the Yankees at the beginning of last season, and it was fourth in the AL with 829 runs scored while the Yankees were 10th (711). Devers had 38 homers, with 113 RBIs and an OPS of .847 last season, with five homers and 18 RBI in 19 games against New York. Xander Bogaerts, who tweaked a hamstring Friday, hit .295 in 2021.
The addition of Trevor Story also should pay dividends, and he went 0-for-5 Friday, so he should be due. Severino might get off to a shaky start after he gave up nine hits and seven runs while walking five in just 7⅔ innings over three spring starts. Pivetta had a 3.42 ERA and struck out 22 in 15⅔ in his four outings. The 6-foot-5 right-hander went 9-8 with a 4.53 ERA last season, and he was much better in road games. He made 15 of his 30 starts on the road, and he had a 3.75 ERA, compared to 5.40 at home. He allowed seven of his 24 home runs in away games.
How to make Red Sox vs. Yankees picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the run total, as the simulation suggests the teams will combine for 10.5 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s Yankees vs. Red Sox pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Yankees vs. Red Sox on Saturday? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on for Red Sox vs. Yankees, all from the advanced model that is 209-178 on its top-rated MLB picks last season, and find out.
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